By Gary King
This publication presents an answer to the ecological inference challenge, which has plagued clients of statistical equipment for over seventy-five years: How can researchers reliably infer individual-level habit from combination (ecological) info? In political technology, this question arises whilst individual-level surveys are unavailable (for example, neighborhood or comparative electoral politics), unreliable (racial politics), inadequate (political geography), or infeasible (political history). This ecological inference challenge additionally confronts researchers in several parts of significant importance in public coverage, and different educational disciplines, starting from epidemiology and advertising to sociology and quantitative background. even though many have tried to make such cross-level inferences, students agree that each one latest tools yield very faulty conclusions concerning the global. during this quantity, Gary King lays out a unique--and reliable--solution to this venerable problem.
King starts with a qualitative evaluate, readable even via these and not using a statistical heritage. He then unifies the it sounds as if assorted findings within the methodological literature, in order that just one aggregation challenge is still solved. He then offers his answer, in addition to empirical reviews of the answer that come with over 16,000 comparisons of his estimates from genuine mixture facts to the recognized individual-level resolution. the tactic works in practice.
King's technique to the ecological inference challenge will permit empirical researchers to enquire important questions that experience heretofore proved unanswerable, and circulation ahead fields of inquiry during which growth has been stifled by way of this problem.
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Extra resources for A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: Reconstructing Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data
A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: Reconstructing Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data by Gary King